FC Noah Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Noah Jurmala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
LDZ
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
RIG
5 - 0
LDZ
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
FKS
5 - 2
LDZ
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
LDZ
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LDZ
0 - 5
LIE
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
FKS
2 - 0
BFC
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
LIE
0 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BFC
1 - 2
VAL
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |