Defence Force vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LDF
1 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LDF
1 - 1
MAT
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LMP
1 - 0
LDF
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LDF
2 - 0
KLI
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LDF
2 - 1
LIN
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 1
MAT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LIO
7 - 0
LMP
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
QOA
0 - 5
LIO
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LIO
2 - 1
QAL
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 1
LCS
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |