Serie A Round 28

Lazio vs Siena analysis

Lazio Siena
89 ELO 76
8.4% Tilt -8%
17º General ELO ranking 3965º
Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
77.4%
Lazio
15.1%
Draw
7.6%
Siena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
Lazio
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.6%
Win probability
Siena
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-7%
-10%
Siena

ELO progression

Lazio
Siena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2004
PRG
Perugia
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
89 83 6 0
25 Mar. 2004
BOL
Bologna
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
89 81 8 0
17 Mar. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Juventus
JUV
47%
25%
28%
89 91 2 0
14 Mar. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Udinese
UDI
65%
20%
15%
89 85 4 0
29 Feb. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
49%
25%
26%
90 91 1 -1

Matches

Siena
Siena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2004
SIE
Siena
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
28%
26%
46%
75 85 10 0
21 Mar. 2004
CHI
Chievo
1 - 1
Siena
SIE
68%
20%
12%
75 82 7 0
14 Mar. 2004
SIE
Siena
3 - 2
Ancona
ANC
57%
25%
19%
75 66 9 0
07 Mar. 2004
LEC
Lecce
0 - 0
Siena
SIE
49%
26%
25%
76 76 0 -1
28 Feb. 2004
SIE
Siena
0 - 0
Reggina
REG
36%
27%
36%
75 80 5 +1