Lazio vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 3
LAZ
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
UDI
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
VIC
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
INT
3 - 2
NAP
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
NAP
3 - 2
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |