Lazio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 0
LAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
GEN
4 - 1
LAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
MES
2 - 1
ROM
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
BAR
0 - 1
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
MES
1 - 1
ATL
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 1
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 1
MES
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |