Serie A Round 36

Lazio vs Lecce analysis

Lazio Lecce
87 ELO 76
5.1% Tilt -2.7%
17º General ELO ranking 116º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
67.2%
Lazio
19%
Draw
13.8%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
Lazio
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.8%
Win probability
Lecce
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-5%
+4%
Lecce

ELO progression

Lazio
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2006
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
66%
20%
13%
87 93 6 0
15 Apr. 2006
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Livorno
LIV
65%
20%
15%
87 80 7 0
09 Apr. 2006
SIE
Siena
2 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
28%
27%
44%
86 79 7 +1
02 Apr. 2006
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 3
Empoli
EMP
66%
20%
15%
87 78 9 -1
26 Mar. 2006
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
61%
23%
17%
86 84 2 +1

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2006
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Treviso
TRE
68%
20%
12%
77 66 11 0
15 Apr. 2006
LEC
Lecce
1 - 2
Udinese
UDI
36%
25%
39%
77 85 8 0
09 Apr. 2006
ROM
Roma
3 - 1
Lecce
LEC
72%
17%
11%
77 89 12 0
01 Apr. 2006
LEC
Lecce
1 - 0
Milan
ACM
14%
23%
63%
77 94 17 0
26 Mar. 2006
SIE
Siena
1 - 2
Lecce
LEC
49%
25%
26%
76 79 3 +1