Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Lazio vs FK Bodo Glimt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
52%
24%
24%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
BOG
2 - 0
LAZ
17%
22%
62%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAZ
61%
20%
18%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BOL
5 - 0
LAZ
36%
26%
39%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
BOG
2 - 0
LAZ
17%
22%
62%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BOG
3 - 0
HAM
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BRY
0 - 1
BOG
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
IFC
0 - 8
BOG
4%
10%
86%
|
86 | 20 | 66 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
1 - 2
BOG
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |