Lazio vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
TRA
3 - 3
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 2
LAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 0
LAZ
57%
22%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
LAZ
1 - 0
WAR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
DNI
1 - 2
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 2
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAÇ
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |