Coppa Italia . 1/16
Global 5-2
Lazio vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAR
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
FIA
0 - 2
LAZ
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
LAZ
3 - 3
SAM
24%
30%
47%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
INT
2 - 0
LAZ
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
FIA
0 - 2
LAZ
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
FIA
2 - 0
BOL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 3
FIA
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +2 |