Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
5 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 3
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
26%
27%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 3
UDI
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
FIO
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 3
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |