Campionato Primavera 1 Grupo A round 4

Lazio U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis

Lazio U19 Spezia U19
34 ELO 22
22.2% Tilt 14.8%
6313º General ELO ranking 8380º
242º Country ELO ranking 323º
ELO win probability
80%
Lazio U19
12.5%
Draw
7.5%
Spezia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
Lazio U19
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.5%
Win probability
Spezia U19
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio U19
+9%
-43%
Spezia U19

ELO progression

Lazio U19
Spezia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio U19
Lazio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
TRA
Trapani U19
0 - 3
Lazio U19
LAZ
7%
12%
81%
33 13 20 0
21 Sep. 2016
LAZ
Lazio U19
3 - 2
Ternana U19
TER
78%
14%
8%
33 20 13 0
17 Sep. 2016
LAZ
Lazio U19
2 - 3
Napoli U19
NAP
74%
15%
11%
34 26 8 -1
10 Sep. 2016
PER
Perugia U19
4 - 5
Lazio U19
LAZ
15%
17%
67%
34 20 14 0
14 May. 2016
EMP
Empoli U19
3 - 1
Lazio U19
LAZ
38%
24%
39%
35 30 5 -1

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 1
Latina U19
LAT
71%
16%
13%
23 18 5 0
21 Sep. 2016
SPE
Spezia U19
0 - 1
Novara U19
NOV
36%
25%
39%
24 29 5 -1
17 Sep. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina U19
6 - 2
Spezia U19
SPE
74%
16%
10%
25 35 10 -1
10 Sep. 2016
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 4
SPAL U19
SPA
22%
21%
57%
26 39 13 -1
07 May. 2016
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 1
Carpi U19
CAR
79%
13%
8%
26 17 9 0