Serie D Group E Round 14

Lavagnese vs Real Forte Querceta analysis

Lavagnese Real Forte Querceta
44 ELO 38
-7.9% Tilt -13.4%
4450º General ELO ranking 36644º
152º Country ELO ranking 1155º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Lavagnese
22.9%
Draw
19.8%
Real Forte Querceta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
Lavagnese
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.8%
Win probability
Real Forte Querceta
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lavagnese
+113%
+5%
Real Forte Querceta

ELO progression

Lavagnese
Real Forte Querceta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lavagnese
Lavagnese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
VMO
Valdinievole Montecatini
0 - 2
Lavagnese
LAV
49%
25%
26%
42 44 2 0
20 Nov. 2016
LAV
Lavagnese
1 - 0
Sestri Levante
SES
72%
18%
10%
42 30 12 0
13 Nov. 2016
FEZ
Fezzanese
1 - 2
Lavagnese
LAV
21%
22%
57%
42 27 15 0
06 Nov. 2016
LAV
Lavagnese
2 - 1
Grosseto
GRO
19%
23%
58%
39 51 12 +3
30 Oct. 2016
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
1 - 3
Lavagnese
LAV
36%
24%
41%
38 31 7 +1

Matches

Real Forte Querceta
Real Forte Querceta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
USR
Real Forte Querceta
1 - 1
Massese
MAS
45%
23%
32%
38 40 2 0
20 Nov. 2016
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
2 - 2
Real Forte Querceta
USR
60%
21%
19%
38 43 5 0
13 Nov. 2016
USR
Real Forte Querceta
2 - 1
FBC Finale 1908
FBC
57%
21%
23%
37 34 3 +1
06 Nov. 2016
SAV
Savona
1 - 0
Real Forte Querceta
USR
61%
22%
18%
38 44 6 -1
30 Oct. 2016
USR
Real Forte Querceta
0 - 0
Sanremese
SAN
33%
25%
42%
37 44 7 +1