Lavagnese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
LAV
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LAV
2 - 1
BOR
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
LAV
58%
24%
18%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LAV
0 - 1
ASD
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
INV
1 - 2
LAV
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
FEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 1
FOL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 3
INV
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 1
FOL
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |