Lavagnese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAB
1 - 1
LAV
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LAV
1 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
LAV
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LAV
1 - 1
GER
21%
25%
55%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
LAV
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 4
BOR
29%
27%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SES
0 - 0
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 3
CHI
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FOL
44%
27%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 2
ALB
58%
23%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |