Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
LAV
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 2
BOR
50%
26%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
LAV
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 0
GOZ
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 2
LAV
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
BOG
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
CHI
21%
24%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
DER
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
AST
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |