Lavagnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+249%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 2
LAV
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LAV
0 - 1
SET
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SCC
1 - 1
LAV
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ACQ
1 - 1
LAV
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LAV
3 - 1
BAA
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DER
2 - 2
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 0
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
VIG
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SET
0 - 2
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 2
DER
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |