Serie D Group A Round 38

Lavagnese vs Saluzzo analysis

Lavagnese Saluzzo
54 ELO 45
-5.2% Tilt -15%
4721º General ELO ranking 6894º
164º Country ELO ranking 264º
ELO win probability
71.7%
Lavagnese
18%
Draw
10.2%
Saluzzo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
Lavagnese
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.2%
Win probability
Saluzzo
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lavagnese
+19%
+19%
Saluzzo

Points and table prediction

Lavagnese
Their league position
Saluzzo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
11º
50
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AS Bra
78
82
100%
NovaRomentin
71
75
99%
Gozzano
65
69
29.5%
Vado FC
65
69
26%
Lavagnese
64
68
28.5%
Città di Varese
62
66
59%
Ligorna
58
62
89.5%
Chisola Calcio
50
54
48%
Saluzzo
50
54
45.5%
ASD Asti
11º
45
49
10º
33%
Sanremese
10º
45
49
11º
30%
Derthona
12º
44
48
12º
36.5%
Oltrepo FBC
13º
40
43
13º
47%
Imperia
14º
38
41
14º
30%
Voghera
15º
37
41
15º
32.5%
US Cairese
16º
37
40
16º
37%
Albenga
20º
0
35
17º
17.5%
Chieri
17º
31
34
18º
42%
Borgaro Nobis
18º
28
31
19º
45%
Fossano Calcio
19º
26
29
20º
61%
Expected probabilities
Lavagnese
Saluzzo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
88% 0%
Mid-table
12% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lavagnese
Saluzzo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lavagnese
Lavagnese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
VFC
Vado FC
0 - 1
Lavagnese
LAV
48%
26%
26%
54 54 0 0
17 Apr. 2025
LAV
Lavagnese
2 - 1
ASD Asti
AST
71%
18%
11%
53 43 10 +1
13 Apr. 2025
BOR
Borgaro Nobis
1 - 2
Lavagnese
LAV
24%
25%
51%
53 26 27 0
06 Apr. 2025
LAV
Lavagnese
1 - 0
Fossano Calcio
FOS
82%
13%
5%
52 27 25 +1
30 Mar. 2025
ASD
Città di Varese
1 - 2
Lavagnese
LAV
38%
28%
33%
51 50 1 +1

Matches

Saluzzo
Saluzzo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
ACS
Saluzzo
1 - 0
NovaRomentin
SNR
14%
23%
63%
43 56 13 0
17 Apr. 2025
DER
Derthona
1 - 1
Saluzzo
ACS
48%
27%
26%
43 44 1 0
13 Apr. 2025
ACS
Saluzzo
0 - 2
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
58%
21%
21%
43 33 10 0
06 Apr. 2025
VFC
Vado FC
2 - 0
Saluzzo
ACS
72%
18%
10%
44 53 9 -1
30 Mar. 2025
FOS
Fossano Calcio
0 - 3
Saluzzo
ACS
24%
24%
52%
42 28 14 +2