Lastenia vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lastenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAA
2 - 1
LAS
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAS
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAS
1 - 0
AMA
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ABL
1 - 0
LAS
69%
17%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LAS
0 - 2
CEN
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
SAA
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 3
PRO
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
ABL
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 0
PRO
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |