UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 5-2
LASK vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AWM
0 - 1
LAS
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAS
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AUS
0 - 3
LAS
26%
23%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LAS
2 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VOC
2 - 6
LAS
5%
12%
83%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAS
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
17%
21%
63%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |