noscript image

Tercera Division. IV - Euskadi, Matchday 16

Urgatzi KK vs SD Gernika analysis

Urgatzi KK SD Gernika
23 ELO 30
-38% Tilt 32%
6759º General ELO ranking 4747º
476º Country ELO ranking 283º
ELO win probability
21.4%
Urgatzi KK
27.8%
Draw
50.8%
SD Gernika

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
Urgatzi KK
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50.8%
Win probability
SD Gernika
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Urgatzi KK
-52%
+66%
SD Gernika

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SD Gernika
43
43
100%
Real Sociedad C
40
40
100%
Sestao River
39
39
100%
Deusto
36
36
100%
CD Vitoria
35
35
50%
Urduliz FT
35
35
50%
Pasaia KE
34
34
100%
CD Basconia
30
30
50%
Anaitasuna FT
30
30
50%
San Ignacio
10º
29
29
10º
50%
Santutxu
11º
29
29
11º
50%
Beasain KE
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Tolosa CF
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Santurtzi
14º
23
23
14º
100%
SCD Durango
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Sodupe
16º
20
20
16º
50%
Aurrera Ondarroa
17º
20
20
17º
50%
Balmaseda FC
18º
18
18
18º
100%
JD Somorrostro
19º
17
17
19º
100%
Ariznabarra
20º
16
16
20º
100%
CD Lagun Onak
21º
15
15
21º
100%
Urgatzi KK
22º
10
10
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Urgatzi KK
SD Gernika
Promotion
0% 100%
Next phase
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

SD Gernika
GER
Urgatzi KK
IKE
Aurrera Ondarroa
AUR
Real Sociedad C
BER
Sestao River
SES
Balmaseda FC
BFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Urgatzi KK
Urgatzi KK
1%
X%
2%
ELO IKE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2021
IKE
Urgatzi KK
0 - 5
SD Gernika
GER
44%
27%
29%
284 390 -106 -3
30 Jan. 2021
SES
Sestao River
7 - 0
Urgatzi KK
IKE
53%
25%
22%
287 469 182 -3
27 Jan. 2021
IKE
Urgatzi KK
1 - 3
Balmaseda FC
BFC
49%
26%
25%
297 180 117 0
23 Jan. 2021
IKE
Urgatzi KK
0 - 2
Deusto
DEU
47%
27%
26%
292 210 82 -3
20 Jan. 2021
IKE
Urgatzi KK
0 - 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
AUR
45%
27%
28%
297 289 8 0

Matches

SD Gernika
SD Gernika
1%
X%
2%
ELO GER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2021
IKE
Urgatzi KK
0 - 5
SD Gernika
GER
44%
27%
29%
390 284 -106 +3
30 Jan. 2021
GER
SD Gernika
2 - 0
JD Somorrostro
JUV
47%
27%
26%
387 314 73 +2
24 Jan. 2021
SFC
Santutxu
0 - 2
SD Gernika
GER
39%
28%
34%
385 201 -184 +2
20 Jan. 2021
GER
SD Gernika
0 - 3
Deusto
DEU
51%
26%
23%
390 210 180 0
16 Jan. 2021
GER
SD Gernika
2 - 0
Tolosa CF
TOL
47%
27%
26%
386 310 76 +2