Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 1
LAR
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARD
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 0
BAN
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 0
LOU
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
LAR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 2
INS
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
COA
1 - 2
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
INS
0 - 1
BAN
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |