Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
COL
4 - 1
LAR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 2
LIM
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
2 - 0
LAR
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 3
DUN
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BAL
3 - 0
LAR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 0
INS
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 1
ARC
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |