Larne vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
7º
1º
56
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
3 - 5
LAR
14%
19%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
LAR
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
GLE
5 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
43%
24%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 3
CAR
75%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |