AEL Larisa vs Panathinaikos B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
2º
33
1º
9º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 1
LAR
20%
28%
52%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
IRA
72%
20%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
LAR
13%
24%
63%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
THE
78%
17%
5%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
APL
0 - 2
LAR
17%
27%
57%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PNT
1 - 2
VER
33%
25%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MKN
1 - 1
PNT
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PNT
0 - 1
PAN
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
IRA
2 - 3
PNT
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
PNT
1 - 1
ALA
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |