Larache vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
MEL
3 - 1
LCF
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
2 - 2
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
ALG
3 - 2
LCF
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
LCF
2 - 0
CAD
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
MAL
5 - 0
LCF
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
RJA
3 - 1
LIN
79%
13%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
4 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
COR
1 - 2
RJA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
ALG
77%
14%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
CAD
1 - 0
RJA
49%
22%
30%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |