Lancaster City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 0
LIV
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNM
1 - 1
LAN
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 1
WAR
26%
27%
48%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 1
RYL
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
LAN
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
1 - 1
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
1 - 2
BAM
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
GAI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
2 - 2
ATH
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
GAI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |