FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 2-6
Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 4
SPE
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KIN
3 - 2
LAN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BAM
3 - 3
LAN
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
BRI
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UNM
0 - 1
LAN
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bamber Bridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAM
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAM
1 - 4
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BAM
3 - 3
LAN
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 0
BAM
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAM
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |