Lagunak vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagunak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
JUA
2 - 0
LAG
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LAG
3 - 1
AVA
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BUÑ
2 - 3
LAG
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LAG
4 - 0
ZIR
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 1
LAG
31%
26%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALU
3 - 4
CAV
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ART
2 - 0
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
3 - 2
BET
40%
23%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CDI
5 - 2
ALU
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 2
AOI
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |