Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
CD Lagun Onak vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
63.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 0
LON
50%
26%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LON
2 - 1
CDV
35%
28%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ZAL
0 - 0
LON
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BFC
2 - 0
LON
42%
28%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
CDU
49%
27%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 1
ROB
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 7
AVI
7%
17%
76%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 0
GIN
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 4
AVI
8%
18%
74%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
0 - 0
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |