Tercera RFEF IV - País Vasco. Jor. 17

CD Lagun Onak vs Deusto analysis

CD Lagun Onak Deusto
27 ELO 30
-22.1% Tilt -25.9%
8228º General ELO ranking 7236º
316º Country ELO ranking 245º
ELO win probability
39.2%
CD Lagun Onak
25.6%
Draw
35.1%
Deusto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
CD Lagun Onak
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.1%
Win probability
Deusto
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Lagun Onak
-9%
+27%
Deusto

Points and table prediction

CD Lagun Onak
Their league position
Deusto
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
12º
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barakaldo
75
78
100%
CD Vitoria
57
60
100%
Leioa
57
57
100%
CD Basconia
51
54
100%
Deusto
46
46
100%
Portugalete
41
42
100%
SCD Durango
37
37
57.5%
Pasaia KE
36
36
19%
Anaitasuna FT
34
35
13.5%
Aurrera KE
10º
34
35
10º
24%
Urduliz FT
11º
33
34
11º
35.5%
CD Lagun Onak
13º
30
33
12º
53.5%
CD Padura
12º
31
31
13º
46%
CD Touring
14º
29
30
14º
57%
San Ignacio
15º
26
27
15º
82.5%
CD Aurrera Vitoria
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Lagun Onak
Deusto
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Lagun Onak
Deusto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Lagun Onak
CD Lagun Onak
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
CDT
CD Touring
1 - 2
CD Lagun Onak
LON
36%
25%
38%
28 20 8 0
07 Jan. 2023
AUR
CD Aurrera Vitoria
1 - 1
CD Lagun Onak
LON
31%
25%
44%
28 18 10 0
17 Dec. 2022
LON
CD Lagun Onak
2 - 1
SCD Durango
CDU
41%
27%
32%
27 30 3 +1
10 Dec. 2022
CDP
CD Padura
0 - 0
CD Lagun Onak
LON
25%
27%
48%
27 21 6 0
03 Dec. 2022
LON
CD Lagun Onak
2 - 0
Anaitasuna FT
AFT
41%
25%
34%
26 26 0 +1

Matches

Deusto
Deusto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
DEU
Deusto
0 - 0
Urduliz FT
URD
61%
22%
18%
30 21 9 0
07 Jan. 2023
DEU
Deusto
1 - 1
Barakaldo
BAR
17%
22%
61%
29 41 12 +1
17 Dec. 2022
AUR
Aurrera KE
1 - 2
Deusto
DEU
32%
25%
42%
28 23 5 +1
10 Dec. 2022
CDT
CD Touring
0 - 0
Deusto
DEU
33%
23%
44%
28 20 8 0
03 Dec. 2022
DEU
Deusto
2 - 0
CD Aurrera Vitoria
AUR
57%
22%
21%
28 20 8 0
X