CD Lagun Onak vs CD Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
6º
40
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AFT
0 - 0
LON
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LON
0 - 0
AUR
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
LON
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LON
3 - 1
AÑO
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DAC
0 - 1
LON
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 1
CDV
16%
22%
63%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 3
CDD
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
CDP
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDD
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |