Lagarto vs Botafogo ASF analysis


29	ELO	7
-15.1%	Tilt	-11.4%
4418º	General ELO ranking	37377º
156º	Country ELO ranking	1088º
ELO win probability

73.8%

Lagarto

16.1%

Draw

10%

Botafogo ASF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

73.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%

16.1%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

7.6%

2-2

3.6%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

16.1%

10%

Win probability

0.78

Expected goals

0-1

3.1%

1-2

3%

2-3

0.9%

3-4

0.1%

4-5

0%

-1

7.2%

0-2

1.2%

1-3

0.8%

2-4

0.2%

3-5

0%

-2

2.2%

0-3

0.3%

1-4

0.2%

2-5

0%

-3

0.5%

0-4

0.1%

1-5

0%

-4

0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lagarto

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
29 Jan. 2017	LAG 1 - 3 SER 25% 27% 49%	32	42	10	0
21 Jan. 2017	DOR 0 - 0 LAG 52% 22% 26%	31	35	4	+1
15 Jan. 2017	LAG 0 - 1 ITA 31% 27% 42%	32	40	8	-1
16 Apr. 2016	LAG 4 - 0 AMA 40% 24% 36%	31	31	0	+1
09 Apr. 2016	SOC 0 - 3 LAG 46% 24% 30%	29	31	2	+2