Sergipano First Round Round 6

Lagarto vs Amadense analysis

Lagarto Amadense
30 ELO 32
-15% Tilt -9.7%
4809º General ELO ranking 28226º
153º Country ELO ranking 823º
ELO win probability
40.2%
Lagarto
23.6%
Draw
36.2%
Amadense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
Lagarto
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.2%
Win probability
Amadense
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lagarto
+1%
+3%
Amadense

ELO progression

Lagarto
Amadense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lagarto
Lagarto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2017
CON
Confiança
4 - 1
Lagarto
LAG
79%
15%
6%
32 56 24 0
01 Feb. 2017
LAG
Lagarto
1 - 2
Botafogo ASF
ABS
74%
16%
10%
33 8 25 -1
29 Jan. 2017
LAG
Lagarto
1 - 3
Sergipe
SER
25%
27%
49%
34 44 10 -1
21 Jan. 2017
DOR
Dorense
0 - 0
Lagarto
LAG
52%
22%
26%
34 38 4 0
15 Jan. 2017
LAG
Lagarto
0 - 1
Itabaiana
ITA
31%
27%
42%
35 43 8 -1

Matches

Amadense
Amadense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2017
AMA
Amadense
1 - 0
Estanciano
EST
36%
23%
42%
30 33 3 0
02 Feb. 2017
AMA
Amadense
0 - 4
Itabaiana
ITA
25%
26%
50%
32 45 13 -2
28 Jan. 2017
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
1 - 0
Amadense
AMA
45%
23%
33%
33 34 1 -1
21 Jan. 2017
AMA
Amadense
1 - 1
Sergipe
SER
21%
23%
56%
32 45 13 +1
19 Jan. 2017
AFP
Frei Paulistano
2 - 2
Amadense
AMA
54%
21%
25%
32 37 5 0