NCAA Division I Patriot League Round 1

Lafayette vs Bucknell Bison analysis

 Lafayette Bucknell Bison
34 ELO 20
-3.9% Tilt -0.7%
46119º General ELO ranking 46116º
811º Country ELO ranking 808º
ELO win probability
82%
Lafayette
11.7%
Draw
6.4%
Bucknell Bison

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
 Lafayette
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.4%
Win probability
Bucknell Bison
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
 Lafayette
-13%
-22%
Bucknell Bison

ELO progression

 Lafayette
Bucknell Bison
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lafayette
 Lafayette
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
1 - 2
American Eagles
AUE
58%
20%
22%
35 31 4 0
14 Apr. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
2 - 1
Holy Cross
HLC
68%
17%
15%
35 27 8 0
09 Apr. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
3 - 0
Lehigh
LMH
87%
9%
4%
36 18 18 -1
03 Apr. 2021
AWP
Army West Point
1 - 2
 Lafayette
LFL
18%
19%
63%
35 22 13 +1
27 Mar. 2021
BUA
Boston University
2 - 3
 Lafayette
LFL
25%
21%
54%
34 25 9 +1

Matches

Bucknell Bison
Bucknell Bison
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
BBS
Bucknell Bison
1 - 2
Loyola Maryland
LYM
20%
20%
61%
20 29 9 0
03 Apr. 2021
BBS
Bucknell Bison
0 - 0
Colgate Raiders
CRS
64%
18%
18%
20 18 2 0
27 Mar. 2021
NMP
Navy Midshipmen
1 - 0
Bucknell Bison
BBS
76%
14%
10%
20 29 9 0
20 Mar. 2021
LMH
Lehigh
4 - 1
Bucknell Bison
BBS
25%
21%
54%
22 17 5 -2
13 Mar. 2021
BBS
Bucknell Bison
2 - 1
American Eagles
AUE
17%
19%
65%
20 31 11 +2