La Roche vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
LAR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 3
ROS
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 3
LAR
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 2
LIB
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OPP
1 - 1
LAR
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
GOU
42%
23%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EBE
2 - 2
MES
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MES
0 - 4
LON
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOM
3 - 0
MES
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 1
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |