La Roche vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 0
VAU
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
5 - 1
ROS
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
LAR
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
MEI
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
LAR
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
MES
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MEI
4 - 1
MES
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MES
1 - 4
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 2
MES
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |