La Motilla vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Motilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 4
MOT
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 2
CDL
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
AND
59%
21%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PPM
2 - 0
MOT
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
SRB
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NER
3 - 1
AND
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 3
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
NER
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |