La Guía vs Choco B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 0
GUI
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 1
ARE
66%
19%
16%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIN
1 - 1
GUI
39%
24%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
APO
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
62%
20%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
LAV
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 1
CHO
28%
23%
50%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
6 - 1
VIN
54%
22%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
APO
2 - 1
CHO
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 2
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |