Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 0-0
Śląsk Wrocław vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
DUN
3 - 2
SLA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 0
DUN
42%
25%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SLA
5 - 0
ARK
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
RCH
1 - 2
SLA
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
GÓR
3 - 1
SLA
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
LSO
3 - 2
MET
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
LSO
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SSO
0 - 1
LSO
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 3
LOV
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SLI
0 - 2
LSO
23%
27%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |