L'Aquila vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 1
LAQ
62%
25%
14%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 2
TER
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 1
LAQ
66%
22%
13%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 2
USF
22%
26%
53%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LAQ
0 - 2
GIU
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
SSS
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 2
SSS
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 2
BEN
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |