L'Aquila vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SAS
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LAQ
3 - 1
VIR
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 1
LAQ
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 4
CAT
28%
30%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
NOC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
2 - 1
FER
32%
29%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
PES
5 - 2
NOC
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |