Poland Fourth Division Lodz-Mazovian Round 27

Kutno vs Ursus Warszawa analysis

Kutno Ursus Warszawa
27 ELO 35
-5.7% Tilt -2.4%
10060º General ELO ranking 9159º
191º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Kutno
26%
Draw
38.5%
Ursus Warszawa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
Kutno
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.5%
Win probability
Ursus Warszawa
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kutno
-11%
-1%
Ursus Warszawa

ELO progression

Kutno
Ursus Warszawa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kutno
Kutno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2014
BIP
Bełchatów II
1 - 3
Kutno
KFC
30%
23%
48%
28 20 8 0
29 Mar. 2014
KFC
Kutno
0 - 0
GKS Pogon
PGM
64%
20%
17%
28 22 6 0
22 Mar. 2014
MKP
Mazur Karczew
1 - 1
Kutno
KFC
18%
24%
58%
28 20 8 0
15 Mar. 2014
KFC
Kutno
0 - 1
Broń Radom
BRA
49%
24%
27%
31 30 1 -3
09 Mar. 2014
WLI
Widzew Łódź II
2 - 1
Kutno
KFC
40%
24%
36%
32 27 5 -1

Matches

Ursus Warszawa
Ursus Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2014
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 1
Start Otwock
SOT
62%
22%
16%
34 26 8 0
29 Mar. 2014
WSI
Warta Sieradz
1 - 2
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
35%
26%
39%
34 27 7 0
22 Mar. 2014
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 0
Huragan Wołomin
HWP
72%
18%
11%
33 21 12 +1
15 Mar. 2014
PBI
Pilica Białobrzegi
0 - 1
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
31%
24%
45%
35 25 10 -2
08 Mar. 2014
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
2 - 0
Mechanik Radomsko
MRP
80%
14%
7%
35 16 19 0