Kukësi vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
10º
10º
32
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TEU
1 - 0
KUK
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 0
KUK
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KUK
2 - 3
TIR
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 2
KUK
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 1
VLZ
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 3
KFS
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 1
ERZ
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 4
DIN
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
EGN
3 - 2
ERZ
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |