Excelsior Mariakerke vs Ardennen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SKM
1 - 1
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
KSC
3 - 4
EEN
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
EEG
2 - 2
KSC
71%
15%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 0
DRO
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
DEN
1 - 1
KSC
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ARD
2 - 1
FCS
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JZU
0 - 4
ARD
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ARD
1 - 2
DEN
22%
20%
57%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SLE
1 - 1
ARD
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ARD
2 - 1
GBG
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |