Ksar vs Concorde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ksar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
KSA
0 - 0
ARM
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ZOU
1 - 0
KSA
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
KSA
1 - 0
SNI
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IMG
3 - 3
KSA
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KSA
2 - 0
NDB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Concorde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
ZOU
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
SNI
0 - 0
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
CON
2 - 3
IMG
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
NDB
0 - 6
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
POL
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |