Mieszko Gniezno vs Polonia Nowy Tomyśl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mieszko Gniezno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MGZ
0 - 0
WLO
38%
26%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MGZ
0 - 0
PLP
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MGZ
1 - 1
USW
22%
24%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
MGZ
4 - 0
GKP
22%
24%
54%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LTP
0 - 0
MGZ
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Nowy Tomyśl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GIP
0 - 3
PNT
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PNT
4 - 0
CZC
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PNT
1 - 1
PLP
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PNT
7 - 0
WLO
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
USW
3 - 1
PNT
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |