Devolli vs Tepelena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
5º
24
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 1
DEV
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 0
LFC
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAL
2 - 6
DEV
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
3 - 0
SHK
72%
17%
10%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ELB
0 - 0
DEV
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tepelena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
TEP
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEP
1 - 4
SHK
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
TEP
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TEP
1 - 1
MEM
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BUT
2 - 0
TEP
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |