Devolli vs Memaliaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
5º
6
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
5 - 2
DEV
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEV
6 - 1
BUT
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 0
DEV
16%
24%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DEV
3 - 3
DEL
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 2
DEV
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Memaliaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 2
BUT
12%
19%
70%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEL
5 - 2
MEM
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 3
MAL
17%
19%
65%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 0
MEM
86%
11%
3%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 6
POG
5%
16%
78%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |