1st Division Grupo Descenso round 3

Devolli vs KF Iliria analysis

Devolli KF Iliria
48 ELO 45
3.1% Tilt -3%
36749º General ELO ranking 19402º
74º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
65.7%
Devolli
19.7%
Draw
14.7%
KF Iliria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
Devolli
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.7%
Win probability
KF Iliria
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Devolli
-12%
+9%
KF Iliria

ELO progression

Devolli
KF Iliria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Devolli
Devolli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2020
SHE
Shenkolli
1 - 1
Devolli
DEV
25%
25%
50%
49 42 7 0
07 Mar. 2020
DEV
Devolli
2 - 1
Turbina Cërrik
TUR
68%
18%
14%
49 41 8 0
29 Feb. 2020
DEV
Devolli
2 - 3
Besa Kavajë
BES
51%
24%
25%
49 50 1 0
23 Feb. 2020
APO
Apolonia Fier
1 - 1
Devolli
DEV
61%
23%
17%
49 56 7 0
15 Feb. 2020
DEV
Devolli
3 - 1
Shenkolli
SHE
59%
21%
20%
48 44 4 +1

Matches

KF Iliria
KF Iliria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2020
ILI
KF Iliria
2 - 4
KF Elbasani
ELB
56%
23%
21%
45 39 6 0
07 Mar. 2020
ILI
KF Iliria
4 - 2
Shenkolli
SHE
42%
25%
33%
44 44 0 +1
29 Feb. 2020
LUS
Lushnja
3 - 2
KF Iliria
ILI
73%
18%
10%
44 52 8 0
23 Feb. 2020
ILI
KF Iliria
0 - 1
KF Elbasani
ELB
57%
23%
20%
45 39 6 -1
15 Feb. 2020
ORI
Oriku
0 - 0
KF Iliria
ILI
53%
25%
22%
45 48 3 0