Jong Genk vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
6º
23
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LOM
2 - 0
KRC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
STL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 3
KRC
56%
23%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRC
2 - 2
STL
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
KRC
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
STL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 2
DEI
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
KRC
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRG
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |